Kalif RaymondorTed Hurst III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Kalif Raymond in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Ted Hurst III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ted Hurst III projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Kalif Raymond faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ted Hurst III wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.1 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR43 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.3 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 3.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |