Kayshon BoutteorTed Hurst III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Kayshon Boutte in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Ted Hurst III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kayshon Boutte projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kayshon Boutte has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Ted Hurst III faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs). Ted Hurst III still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.7 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR48 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.6 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |