Kayshon BoutteorMarvin Harrison Jr.?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores Kayshon Boutte in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Marvin Harrison Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kayshon Boutte has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Marvin Harrison Jr. faces the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs). Marvin Harrison Jr. still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kayshon Boutte
Floor
1.4
Median
5.6
Ceiling
14.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
2.0
Median
6.2
Ceiling
13.7
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.07.3
PPR projection8.38.8
Standard projection5.75.9
Rank this weekWR48WR45
Matchupvs DALat NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.63.1
Last season per game7.78.9
Snap share, last game69%77%
Trade value——