Antonio WilliamsorJordan Watkins?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jordan Watkins

Jordan Watkins outscores Antonio Williams in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Antonio Williams comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jordan Watkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 5.9 half-PPR points in Week 9. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (10% more than average to WRs); Antonio Williams faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Antonio Williams is the pick at 51%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Antonio Williams
Floor
1.7
Median
5.0
Ceiling
10.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Jordan Watkins
Floor
2.1
Median
5.3
Ceiling
10.5
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
59%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatAntonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETJordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.95.9
PPR projection7.57.0
Standard projection4.24.9
Rank this weekWR46WR45
Matchupvs LARvs LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.25.6
Last season per game—1.8
Snap share, last game83%76%
Trade value——