Adonai MitchellorJordan Watkins?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores Adonai Mitchell in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Adonai Mitchell comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jordan Watkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Adonai Mitchell projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (10% more than average to WRs); Adonai Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR48 |
| Matchup | at KC | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |