Chris Godwin Jr.orJordan Watkins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 55% of simulations.
Chris Godwin Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jordan Watkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Watkins projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Chris Godwin Jr. faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Godwin Jr. is the pick at 50%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Watkins wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR36 | WR33 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 28% |
| Trade value | — | — |