Adonai MitchellorKhalil Shakir?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir outscores Adonai Mitchell in 60% of simulations.
Adonai Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Khalil Shakir is the better bet, not a sure thing. Khalil Shakir projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Khalil Shakir faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs), Adonai Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at KC | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 67% |
| Trade value | — | — |