Jordan AddisonorKhalil Shakir?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores Khalil Shakir in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Addison projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Khalil Shakir has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the New Orleans Saints (10% fewer than average to WRs). Jordan Addison still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jordan Addison wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR39 |
| Matchup | at NO | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 96% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |