Jordan AddisonorTre Tucker?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison outscores Tre Tucker in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tre Tucker comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tre Tucker projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jordan Addison has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs); Tre Tucker faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jordan Addison
Floor
2.2
Median
6.4
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
47%
Tre Tucker
Floor
1.1
Median
6.2
Ceiling
17.7
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
49%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ETTre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.57.9
PPR projection8.99.5
Standard projection6.26.4
Rank this weekWR40WR36
Matchupvs MIAvs KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.910.1
Last season per game8.17.8
Snap share, last game98%57%
Trade value—1