DJ MooreorTre Tucker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DJ Moore
DJ Moore outscores Tre Tucker in 55% of simulations.
Tre Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so DJ Moore is the better bet, not a sure thing. DJ Moore projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. DJ Moore has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs); Tre Tucker faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR36 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 7.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 57% |
| Trade value | 1 | 1 |