Khalil ShakirorMack Hollins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins outscores Khalil Shakir in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mack Hollins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.6 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Mack Hollins faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs), Khalil Shakir faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | WR48 | WR47 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.5 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 6.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |