Chris Godwin Jr.orMack Hollins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Godwin Jr.
Chris Godwin Jr. outscores Mack Hollins in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mack Hollins comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Chris Godwin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Mack Hollins faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR47 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 6.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |