Jordan WatkinsorKalif Raymond?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jordan Watkins

Jordan Watkins outscores Kalif Raymond in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Watkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.1 half-PPR points in Week 5. Kalif Raymond has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs); Jordan Watkins faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to WRs). Jordan Watkins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jordan Watkins
Floor
1.9
Median
5.3
Ceiling
11.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
58%
Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.1
Median
4.8
Ceiling
12.8
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
60%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ETKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.16.1
PPR projection6.97.7
Standard projection5.24.6
Rank this weekWR47WR45
Matchupat SEAat GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.09.6
Last season per game1.83.7
Snap share, last game28%51%
Trade value——