Jordan WatkinsorLadd McConkey?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey outscores Jordan Watkins in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Ladd McConkey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ladd McConkey projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Ladd McConkey faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs), Jordan Watkins faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 6.9 | 8.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR43 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | 9.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 28% | 34% |
| Trade value | — | — |