Jordan AddisonorKalif Raymond?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison outscores Kalif Raymond in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kalif Raymond projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs), Kalif Raymond faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jordan Addison
Floor
2.2
Median
6.4
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
47%
Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.8
Median
6.3
Ceiling
14.8
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ETKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.57.6
PPR projection8.99.4
Standard projection6.25.8
Rank this weekWR44WR42
Matchupvs MIAvs NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.912.3
Last season per game8.13.7
Snap share, last game98%75%
Trade value——