Kalif RaymondorMichael Pittman?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman outscores Kalif Raymond in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Michael Pittman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kalif Raymond projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Pittman faces the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs), Kalif Raymond faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 14.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR43 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.3 | 5.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.7 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 73% |
| Trade value | — | — |