Marvin Harrison Jr.orMichael Pittman?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Marvin Harrison Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Michael Pittman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.1 half-PPR points in Week 5. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (25% more than average to WRs); Michael Pittman faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs). Michael Pittman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR32 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | — |