Brian Thomas Jr.orKalif Raymond?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Brian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Kalif Raymond in 57% of simulations.
Kalif Raymond still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Brian Thomas Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Brian Thomas Jr. faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% fewer than average to WRs), Kalif Raymond faces the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR48 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.3 | 9.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | 3.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 51% |
| Trade value | — | — |