Kayshon BoutteorRashid Shaheed?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed outscores Kayshon Boutte in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Rashid Shaheed, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kayshon Boutte projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kayshon Boutte has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (12% more than average to WRs); Rashid Shaheed faces the San Francisco 49ers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Rashid Shaheed still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kayshon Boutte
Floor
1.3
Median
5.3
Ceiling
13.7
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
56%
Rashid Shaheed
Floor
1.5
Median
5.1
Ceiling
12.5
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
58%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETRashid ShaheedWR, SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.66.3
PPR projection7.87.6
Standard projection5.35.1
Rank this weekWR45WR47
Matchupat TENvs SF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.05.1
Last season per game7.77.1
Snap share, last game62%60%
Trade value——