Brian Thomas Jr.orMalachi Fields?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Brian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Malachi Fields in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Malachi Fields comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Brian Thomas Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malachi Fields projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Malachi Fields has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Brian Thomas Jr. faces the Philadelphia Eagles (5% fewer than average to WRs). Brian Thomas Jr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Malachi FieldsWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR46 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 66% |
| Trade value | — | — |