Devaughn VeleorMarquise Brown?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Devaughn Vele
Devaughn Vele outscores Marquise Brown in 64% of simulations.
Marquise Brown still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Devaughn Vele is the better bet, not a sure thing. Devaughn Vele projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Marquise Brown has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Devaughn Vele faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Devaughn Vele still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marquise BrownWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR53 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.9 | 2.6 |
| Last season per game | 6.0 | 7.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |