Devaughn VeleorJosh Downs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Devaughn Vele
Devaughn Vele outscores Josh Downs in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Josh Downs comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Devaughn Vele, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devaughn Vele projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Devaughn Vele faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs), Josh Downs faces the Miami Dolphins (11% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR53 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 6.0 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |