Carnell TateorJosh Downs?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Josh Downs in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Josh Downs comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Indianapolis Colts (10% more than average to WRs), Josh Downs faces the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR34 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |