Cooper KupporJosh Downs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Cooper Kupp in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Cooper Kupp comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Josh Downs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Josh Downs projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Cooper Kupp has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs); Josh Downs faces the Miami Dolphins (11% fewer than average to WRs). Josh Downs still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 10.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cooper KuppWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | WR48 | WR47 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 5.8 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |