Josh DownsorMarvin Harrison Jr.?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 55% of simulations.
Marvin Harrison Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Josh Downs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Downs projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Josh Downs has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs); Marvin Harrison Jr. faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Marvin Harrison Jr. is the pick at 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR39 | WR41 |
| Matchup | vs TEN | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |