Chris Godwin Jr.orKC Concepcion?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Godwin Jr.
Chris Godwin Jr. outscores KC Concepcion in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Godwin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Chris Godwin Jr. faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs). Chris Godwin Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Chris Godwin Jr. wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.3
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR46 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 16% |
| Trade value | — | — |