Devaughn VeleorJordan Addison?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Devaughn Vele
Devaughn Vele outscores Jordan Addison in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Addison comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Devaughn Vele, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devaughn Vele projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Devaughn Vele has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (13% more than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | WR39 | WR42 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.2 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 6.0 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 98% |
| Trade value | — | — |