DK MetcalforTory Horton?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Tory Horton in 68% of simulations.
Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so DK Metcalf is the better bet, not a sure thing. DK Metcalf projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tory Horton has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs). DK Metcalf still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 6.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR57 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 4.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |