Brian Thomas Jr.orDevaughn Vele?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Devaughn Vele
Devaughn Vele outscores Brian Thomas Jr. in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Thomas Jr. comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Devaughn Vele, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devaughn Vele projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Brian Thomas Jr. has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (22% more than average to WRs); Devaughn Vele faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Devaughn Vele still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.4 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.6 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR39 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 9.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | 6.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 93% |
| Trade value | — | — |