Carnell TateorTory Horton?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Tory Horton in 57% of simulations.
Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Carnell Tate is the better bet, not a sure thing. Carnell Tate projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Carnell Tate wins 65%; in Standard leagues, Tory Horton is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR46 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |