Antonio WilliamsorJordan Addison?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores Antonio Williams in 62% of simulations.
Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jordan Addison is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Addison projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Addison faces the Green Bay Packers (7% more than average to WRs), Antonio Williams faces the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jordan Addison wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Antonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | WR57 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 96% |
| Trade value | — | — |