Antonio WilliamsorCarnell Tate?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Antonio Williams in 56% of simulations.
Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Carnell Tate is the better bet, not a sure thing. Carnell Tate projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs), Antonio Williams faces the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Antonio Williams is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Antonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR43 | WR42 |
| Matchup | vs IND | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 41% | 88% |
| Trade value | — | — |