Courtland SuttonorMarquise Brown?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton outscores Marquise Brown in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Marquise Brown comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Courtland Sutton projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Marquise Brown has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); Courtland Sutton faces the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs). Courtland Sutton still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Courtland Sutton
Floor
2.3
Median
6.4
Ceiling
13.4
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
46%
Marquise Brown
Floor
2.0
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCourtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ETMarquise BrownWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.27.1
PPR projection8.78.6
Standard projection5.65.6
Rank this weekWR42WR44
Matchupat ARIvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.11.2
Last season per game10.77.1
Snap share, last game77%22%
Trade value——