Brian Thomas Jr.orXavier Hutchinson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Brian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Xavier Hutchinson in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Xavier Hutchinson comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Brian Thomas Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.0 half-PPR points in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Brian Thomas Jr. faces the Houston Texans (1% more than average to WRs), Xavier Hutchinson faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 57%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Xavier HutchinsonWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR43 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | 5.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 41% |
| Trade value | — | — |