Caleb DouglasorMarquise Brown?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Caleb Douglas
Caleb Douglas outscores Marquise Brown in 76% of simulations.
Marquise Brown comes out ahead in the other 24%. Caleb Douglas projects 5.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Caleb Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs); Marquise Brown faces the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marquise BrownWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR53 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 2.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 46% |
| Trade value | 14 | — |