Courtland SuttonorJaylen Waddle?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton outscores Jaylen Waddle in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Waddle comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Courtland Sutton faces the Kansas City Chiefs (20% fewer than average to WRs), Jaylen Waddle faces the Kansas City Chiefs (20% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Courtland Sutton
Floor
2.0
Median
5.6
Ceiling
11.6
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
55%
Jaylen Waddle
Floor
0.0
Median
5.6
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCourtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.36.5
PPR projection7.68.1
Standard projection4.95.0
Rank this weekWR45WR42
Matchupvs KCvs KC
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game4.47.3
Last season per game10.710.1
Snap share, last game70%56%
Trade value——