Courtland SuttonorJordan Addison?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Jordan Addison in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Addison comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Courtland Sutton projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Courtland Sutton has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 98% |
| Trade value | — | — |