Jordan AddisonorMichael Pittman?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman outscores Jordan Addison in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Addison comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Michael Pittman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Pittman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Pittman faces the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs), Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR39 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 5.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 73% |
| Trade value | — | — |