Michael PittmanorTre Tucker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman outscores Tre Tucker in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tre Tucker comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Michael Pittman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tre Tucker projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Michael Pittman has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs); Tre Tucker faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.7 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR39 | WR36 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.0 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |