Jameson WilliamsorMichael Pittman?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jameson Williams
Jameson Williams outscores Michael Pittman in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Pittman comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jameson Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jameson Williams projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Michael Pittman has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs); Jameson Williams faces the Carolina Panthers (19% fewer than average to WRs). Jameson Williams still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR39 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 5.0 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 73% |
| Trade value | — | — |