DJ MooreorMarvin Harrison Jr.?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Marvin Harrison Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores DJ Moore in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Marvin Harrison Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (25% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.4 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR33 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |