Carnell TateorKayshon Boutte?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Kayshon Boutte in 56% of simulations.
Kayshon Boutte still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Carnell Tate is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 7.0 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs), Kayshon Boutte faces the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Carnell Tate wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Kayshon Boutte is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR48 | WR47 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 69% |
| Trade value | — | — |