Chris Godwin Jr.orKayshon Boutte?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr. outscores Kayshon Boutte in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Chris Godwin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.0 half-PPR points in Week 4. Kayshon Boutte has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Chris Godwin Jr. faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs). Chris Godwin Jr. still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Godwin Jr.
Floor
2.0
Median
6.0
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
50%
Kayshon Boutte
Floor
1.4
Median
5.6
Ceiling
14.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatChris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETKayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.07.0
PPR projection8.88.3
Standard projection5.25.7
Rank this weekWR47WR48
Matchupvs GBvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.93.6
Last season per game7.47.7
Snap share, last game62%69%
Trade value——