Keon ColemanorMarvin Harrison Jr.?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Keon Coleman

Keon Coleman outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Marvin Harrison Jr. comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Keon Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.7 half-PPR points in Week 9. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Keon Coleman faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Keon Coleman still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keon Coleman
Floor
1.6
Median
5.5
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
54%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
1.9
Median
5.7
Ceiling
12.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKeon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ETMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.76.7
PPR projection8.07.9
Standard projection5.45.5
Rank this weekWR41WR40
Matchupat MINat LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.14.8
Last season per game7.08.9
Snap share, last game77%21%
Trade value——