Keon ColemanorMakai Lemon?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Makai Lemon
Makai Lemon outscores Keon Coleman in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Makai Lemon, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Makai Lemon projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Makai Lemon has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Keon Coleman faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Keon Coleman is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Makai LemonWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at MIN | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |