Adonai MitchellorKeon Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman outscores Adonai Mitchell in 55% of simulations.
Adonai Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Keon Coleman is the better bet, not a sure thing. Keon Coleman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Keon Coleman faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs), Adonai Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR44 |
| Matchup | at KC | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |