Adonai MitchellorMarvin Harrison Jr.?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores Adonai Mitchell in 58% of simulations.

Adonai Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Marvin Harrison Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Adonai Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Adonai Mitchell
Floor
0.7
Median
4.6
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
60%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
1.9
Median
5.7
Ceiling
12.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAdonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.66.7
PPR projection7.97.9
Standard projection5.25.5
Rank this weekWR45WR43
Matchupat KCat LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.14.8
Last season per game4.58.9
Snap share, last game61%21%
Trade value——