Marvin Harrison Jr.orQuentin Johnston?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Marvin Harrison Jr. comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quentin Johnston projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Quentin Johnston still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
1.9
Median
5.7
Ceiling
12.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Quentin Johnston
Floor
2.2
Median
6.0
Ceiling
12.6
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETQuentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.76.8
PPR projection8.18.1
Standard projection5.45.4
Rank this weekWR48WR46
Matchupat NYGat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.13.4
Last season per game8.911.2
Snap share, last game77%87%
Trade value——