Mack HollinsorMarvin Harrison Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Marvin Harrison Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mack Hollins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.7 half-PPR points in Week 4. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs); Mack Hollins faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs). Mack Hollins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Standard projection | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR48 |
| Matchup | at BUF | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.2 | 3.1 |
| Last season per game | 6.5 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |