Mack HollinsorMarvin Harrison Jr.?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins outscores Marvin Harrison Jr. in 63% of simulations.
Marvin Harrison Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Mack Hollins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Mack Hollins projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mack Hollins has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (14% more than average to WRs); Marvin Harrison Jr. faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR52 |
| Matchup | at DET | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 4.6 |
| Last season per game | 6.5 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |