Antonio WilliamsorLadd McConkey?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey outscores Antonio Williams in 59% of simulations.

Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Ladd McConkey is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ladd McConkey projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Antonio Williams has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (5% more than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Antonio Williams
Floor
1.5
Median
4.7
Ceiling
10.8
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
63%
Ladd McConkey
Floor
2.1
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAntonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ETLadd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.77.1
PPR projection7.28.6
Standard projection4.25.6
Rank this weekWR49WR36
Matchupvs PHIat LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.96.5
Last season per game—9.2
Snap share, last game67%12%
Trade value——